OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has been actively sharing his insights on Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), highlighting the parallels between AI advancements and Moore’s Law. He suggests that the cost of utilizing AI capabilities decreases dramatically—about tenfold every year—which significantly boosts their use and accessibility.

His observations assert that where Moore’s Law historically referred to the doubling of computing power every two years, the AI trajectory appears to be even more favorable, estimating that AI effectiveness compounds at a higher rate.

Key Points from Altman:

• The cost for a specific level of AI decreases by 10 times every year.
• This trend could lead to far greater adoption of AI technologies.

Altman’s reflections indicate that the future of AGI may unfold rapidly, and if his assessments hold true, the significant drops in AI accessibility might serve as an essential metric for measuring its evolution, resembling a new kind of ’law’ as suggested by the existing principles from Moore.

For further reading, you can find more details on his blog.

OpenAI
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